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Independent Policy & Operational Analysis

SCRUTINY HUB

North Yorkshire Council claimed their transport cuts would save millions and operate seamlessly. We analysed the figures, built independent models, and audited the geography. The council's case does not add up.

THE FLAWED CASE Systemic Council Oversights

Where the Council Got It Wrong

When North Yorkshire Council calculated their projected savings, they performed an incomplete, top-down paper exercise. They counted the theoretical money saved by taking bus passes away from rural children, but completely omitted the unavoidable new costs created by their own policy change.

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Built by Parents — Analysis the Council Failed to Do

None of this analysis is overly complex or difficult. We are ordinary local parents volunteering our time—yet North Yorkshire Council, with all its paid officers, consultants, and public resources, could and should have carried out this basic due diligence before proposing sweeping cuts. Instead, the council failed to consider the real-world impacts and grossly miscalculated their theoretical savings. Their entire approach is fundamentally flawed.

EVIDENCE-BASED TOOLS

INDEPENDENTLY ANALYSING THE NUMBERS

STAG spotted the clear gaps in the council's understanding and built two robust models to prove that the foundations underpinning their policy justification are completely inaccurate.

Model 01 / Financial Formula Formula Model

The Financial Model

It is basically just a formula. It takes the Council’s stated savings over the period and simply adds back the sensible costs of implementing and running the new policy that the Council omitted.

It accounts for replacement taxis, cohort transition lag, and statutory appeal costs. And adding those omitted costs proves that the council's claimed savings completely vanish!

Model 02 / Spatial Simulator Simulation Engine

The Policy Model

It is a simulator. It generates rural layouts just like those in North Yorkshire. It adds randomised schools and catchments, and then analyses which policy is cheaper.

It does this thousands of times. And running the simulation thousands of times proves that "nearest" is NOT cheaper!

SPATIAL DATA & GIS TOOLS • IN DEVELOPMENT

MAPPING RURAL NORTH YORKSHIRE

We are combining open-source mapping data, official council records, and the latest GIS tools to prove that County Hall misjudged their policy change and miscalculated the impacts and benefits.

GIS MAPPING ENGINE Coming Soon

County-Wide Spatial Route Maps in Active Development

STAG is actively building interactive spatial models using Ordnance Survey MasterMap data, Department for Transport network datasets, and official council records inside industry-standard GIS engines (QGIS).

We are using these maps to pull apart the Council’s central assertion that this policy shift is "fair" (spoiler: it isn't). Our spatial analysis will lay bare the acute impacts on individual councillors and their constituents, while demonstrating how out-of-county leakage—funding buses across county borders while stranding local pupils—is costing the Council dear.

GIS Mapping Analysis of North Yorkshire Routes
🗺️ Spatial Route Auditing Preview
#BRINGCATCHMENTBACK
School Transport Action Group • North Yorkshire